Oncologist · 2025;30(3) · METHY3 Cohort · China

DNA Methylation Triage in hrHPV+ Women — METHY3 Validation

hrHPV 感染女性的 DNA 甲基化分诊——METHY3 大队列验证
4,394 hrHPV+ · 1,105 histology · PAX1m/JAM3m specificity 89.6% vs HPV16/18 66.4% & LBC 23.9% · OR 18.5 · all 28 cancers detected
Kong L, Xiao X, Wu H, You Y, Jin X, Liou Y, Liu P, Lang J, Li L (correspondence)
Peking Union Medical College Hospital · doi: 10.1093/oncolo/oyae324
20,456
screened · METHY3
4,394
hrHPV+
1,105
with histology
28 / 28
cancers detected by methylation

1Background & Objective

  • Need: hrHPV primary screening needs an objective, high-specificity triage — cytology is operator-dependent.
  • Objective: validate PAX1m/JAM3m for CIN3+ triage vs HPV16/18 & LBC in a large prospective cohort.

2Study Design

89.6%
methylation specificity
18.5
OR (12.1–28.7)
0.790
AUC (0.747–0.832)
  • Setting: PUMCH opportunistic screening, prospective; endpoint CIN3+.
  • Readout: ΔCt PAX1 ≤ 6.6 or ΔCt JAM3 ≤ 10.0.
  • All ages: methylation AUC highest in every age stratum.
4,394
hrHPV+ cohort
1,105
histology-confirmed
28
cervical cancers
PAX1m/JAM3m
OR 18.5
LBC ≥ASCUS
4.44
HPV16/18(+)
4.24
  • Design: prospective METHY3; hrHPV+ women with LBC, genotyping & methylation.
  • Comparator: HPV16/18(+) and LBC ≥ASCUS as current triage options.
  • Endpoint: CIN3+ by histology; referral modeling.
  • Age strata: <30 / 30–49 / ≥50 — methylation AUC highest in each.
  • Cancer safety: all 28 cancers methylation(+); LBC/HPV16/18 missed some.
  • Referral math: −20.6pp vs HPV16/18 · −61.2pp vs LBC referrals.
  • Implication: objective triage fits HPV-based screening pathways.
  • Scalable: qPCR-based, no cytology expertise — suits large-scale screening.
Positivity rises with grade in every age group; 28/28 cancers methylation(+).

3Methylation by Grade & Age

Positivity rates by histological subgroup and age
Fig. 2 Positivity by subgroup & age — methylation rises with grade, cancers 28/28.
050%100% CISCER+ positivity by grade NormalCIN1CIN2CIN3Cancer low++++++100% derived from Fig. 2 (representative) · 28/28 cancers detected
Fig. Methylation positivity climbs with grade — 100% in cancer (28/28).

4Specificity — the Key Advantage

PAX1m/JAM3m
89.6%
HPV16/18(+)
66.4%
LBC ≥ASCUS
23.9%
  • OR 18.5 (12.1–28.7) — vs 4.24 (HPV16/18) & 4.44 (LBC), P<.001.
  • Fewer false referrals: high specificity = fewer unnecessary colposcopies.

5Referral & Practice

−61.2pp
referrals vs LBC
−20.6pp
vs HPV16/18
0
cancers missed
  • Younger women: higher specificity in minimally abnormal cytology — fewer colposcopies in <30 y.
  • Objective: qPCR methylation — reproducible, no cytology expertise needed.
Clinical Significance